86% of Canadians call for early elections! The Liberal Party counterattacks, causing a huge change in the political landscape!
The latest Ipsos poll shows that the support rate of the Liberal Party in Canada has surpassed that of the Conservative Party for the first time in four years since 2021!
If a general election is held now, the Liberal Party will receive 38% of the vote, while the Conservative Party will only receive 36%, completely reversing the situation six weeks ago when the Conservative Party was leading by 26 percentage points.
This survey was conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs from February 21st to 24th, targeting 1000 Canadian voters with a data error range of ± 3.8 percentage points.
The Liberal Party surged by 10%! The Conservative Party has plummeted by 5%!
In the last Ipsos poll released earlier this month, the Conservative Party had a support rate of 41%, while the Liberal Party had only 28%.
However, in just a few weeks, the support rate of the Liberal Party surged by 10%, while the Conservative Party fell by 5%, and the New Democratic Party (NDP) and Bloc Qu é b é cois also experienced a decline in support rates (dropping to 12% and 6% respectively).
Image source: Ipsos
Ipsos CEO Darrell Bricker pointed out that this change is mainly influenced by two factors:
The Liberal Party has changed its leadership, Trudeau has announced his resignation, and the party is running for a new leader, which has refocused voters' attention on the Liberal Party.
Trump's tariff threat, Canada is facing an unprecedented tariff shock from the United States, and the public is more concerned about how to deal with the economic crisis rather than the Liberal Party's governance over the past decade.
Brick said, "Canadians are now more concerned about 'how to deal with the United States' rather than' what the Liberal Party has done in the past 10 years'
The biggest change in polls: Liberal Party support surges in Quebec, Ontario, and Atlantic provinces
This poll found a significant increase in support for the Liberal Party in central and eastern Canada, particularly in Quebec, Ontario, and the Atlantic provinces.
Brick's analysis states, "The increase in support for the Liberal Party is mainly concentrated in the eastern region of Ontario, while the Conservative Party still maintains an advantage in the western region‘
Previously, Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre had been making carbon tax a key focus of his campaign, but recently, two popular leaders of the Liberal Party - Mark Carney and Chrystia Freeland - have both expressed the possibility of adjusting carbon tax policies, which has reduced the importance of the carbon tax issue.
At the same time, Trump's tariff threat has become the biggest economic crisis at present, and the Conservative Party has had to adjust its campaign strategy, emphasizing the new message of "Canada First" in the hope of reversing the situation.
86% of Canadians demand immediate elections!
Against the backdrop of Trump's insistence on implementing a 25% tariff on March 4th, as many as 86% of Canadians have expressed their desire for an immediate federal election to ensure Canada has a strong Prime Minister and government to address the economic challenges posed by the United States.
At present, the total amount of goods exported from Canada to the United States exceeds CAD 590 billion, accounting for 77% of the total export value. If Trump's tariffs are officially implemented, the Canadian economy may fall into a severe recession, with the central bank predicting a 3% decline in GDP, an 8.5% decline in exports, and a 12% decline in business investment within two years.
Brick said, "If the Conservative Party wants to turn the tide, they must find a way to break the dominant position on the current topic and re deliver their message to Canadian voters
At present, the Liberal Party is staging a comeback, while the Conservative Party is facing the challenge of how to stabilize its support rate.
Source link:
https://globalnews.ca/news/11034743/liberals-lead-poll-federal-vote-feb-25/